CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2015-11-04T14:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2015-11-04T14:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9643/-1
CME Note: CME is connected to a M3.7 flare at AR 12443 very close to disk center, GOES light curve is a long duration event, with extensive post-event loops visible in AIA 131. Large, fast wave emanating from flare site, dimming to the west and north of the AR in AIA 193, dark absorption material ejected at west end of AR seen in AIA 304
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-11-06T17:34Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0
Dst min. in nT: -87
Dst min. time: 2015-11-07T08:00Z
Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-11-07T00:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)
Prediction Method Note:
Run details: DETAILS Project name: OPS Case name: AUTORUN Run by: BB Run start: Thu Nov 5 12:45:01 UTC 2015 Run end: Thu Nov 5 13:08:28 UTC 2015 Host machine: sws-enlil.bom.gov.au Grid: 256x30x90 WSA file: wsa_vel_21.5rs_2015110510_gong.fits CMEs: 1 __________________________ DFmenu 20151104T1821 -1 16 45 1044Lead Time: 28.43 hour(s)
Difference: -6.43 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-11-05T13:08Z
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