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Prediction for CME (2015-11-04T14:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-11-04T14:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9643/-1
CME Note: CME is connected to a M3.7 flare at AR 12443 very close to disk center, GOES light curve is a long duration event, with extensive post-event loops visible in AIA 131. Large, fast wave emanating from flare site, dimming to the west and north of the AR in AIA 193, dark absorption material ejected at west end of AR seen in AIA 304
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-11-06T17:34Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 6.0
Dst min. in nT: -87
Dst min. time: 2015-11-07T08:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-11-07T00:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (BoM)
Prediction Method Note:

Run details:
DETAILS
Project name: OPS
Case name: AUTORUN
Run by: BB
Run start: Thu Nov 5 12:45:01 UTC 2015
Run end: Thu Nov 5 13:08:28 UTC 2015
Host machine: sws-enlil.bom.gov.au
Grid: 256x30x90
WSA file: wsa_vel_21.5rs_2015110510_gong.fits
CMEs: 1

__________________________
DFmenu
20151104T1821
-1
16
45
1044

Lead Time: 28.43 hour(s)
Difference: -6.43 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-11-05T13:08Z

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